Quote from lovelystyle100 on March 11, 2024, 9:59 AM

Unfortunately we couldn't follow up our great week with another great week. The fell back to earth, we lost on the hook with the , and the struggled with the . Shoutout to the , though. They are 3-0 straight-up and against-the-spread after starting the season 0-2. Unfortunately we can't ride them again here. Stupid bye weeks.But in all seriousne s, the Week 6 slate of games is absolutely incredible. Bill Belichick takes on his former team in the , the will attempt to hand the their first lo s of the season and we get to enjoy vs. ! This may be the best week yet.Let's take a look at what I'm thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.Top five picks ATS record: 9-16Overall ATS record: 36-43-1Straight up record: 46-33-1 Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox,)If I'm being honest, I hate making the Jets a best bet. But this line is too big! The Packers may eventually turn Zach Duke Jersey into a contender at some point in the year, but they have looked terrible over the past two weeks. The Packers allowed rookie to take them to overtime at Lambeau Field, and then and Co. blew a 17-3 lead to the in London. Now, they have to play football without a bye week after their disappointing overseas vacation!I am not a believer yet, but he does look better compared to last season. It's no secret that the Jets are carried by their ground game. scored two touchdowns last week vs. the , and set a Jets rookie record with 197 scrimmage yards. Despite dropping 40 points, New York didn't record a pa sing touchdown last Sunday!I'm not calling for an upset, but I'll take the points.The pick:Jets +7.5Projected score: Packers 24-20 Pick Six Newsletter Crafted By The Best NFL Experts Get the day's big stories + fun stuff you love like mock drafts, picks and power rankings. I agree to receive the "Pick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. By pre sing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the and acknowledge Paramount's . Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. Thanks for signing up! Keep an eye on your inbox. Sorry! There was an error proce sing your subscription. Fernando Rodney Jersey Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox,)The Dolphins are on a two-game losing streak, and starting a third-string quarterback who lost 40-17 to the Jets last week. While he played virtually the whole game, this is technically seventh-round pick first career start. There have been five starts since 2000 by rookie quarterbacks drafted in the seventh round. They are 0-5 SU and ATS. The Vikings, on the other hand, are on a three-game winning streak. A big reason why is that Minnesota is outscoring teams 37-14 in the fourth quarter, and that +23 is the fourth-best score differential in the NFL. I'm not sure the Vikings are Super Bowl contenders, but I love and . Jefferson leads all receivers with 547 yards and is coming off of a 154-yard performance, and then this weekend is very special for Cook. The Vikings star running back grew up in Miami, and is going to have "a lot of supporters" at this matchup, . He said this weekend is "what I dreamed about," so expect a big game from him. I like getting this number at three points.The pick:Vikings -3Projected score:Vikings 23-17Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox,)The Panthers fired head coach Matt Rhule this week, and that itself will be enough for bettors to take Carolina to cover the spread. , 32 teams have fired their coaches during the regular season since 2003. Those teams have gone 17-15 ATS the very next game -- which is actually impre sive considering they compiled a 37.5-percent cover rate prior to the coaches being fired. Michael Pineda Jersey But here's the difference with the Panthers: they are starting their third-string quarterback who is probably just on the team because of the coach that got fired.Yes, is actually 2-0 as a starting quarterback despite recording a pa ser rating below 80 in each game. His last win came last year, in famous "I'm back!" game. The Panthers are an NFL-worst 3-16 SU and ATS over the last 19 contests, and this game is acro s the country in L.A. I know the Rams haven't been good, but this is a potential bounce-back spot for Sean McVay and Co. If was healthy and this game was in Charlotte, this would not be a best bet for me. The pick:Rams -10Projected score:Rams 28-14Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS,)It's fun to debate which one of these teams is the best in the AFC. To me right now, it's the Bills. They have a higher-ranking offense, higher-ranking pa sing offense, higher-ranking rushing offense, higher-ranking total defense, higher-ranking pa sing defense and higher-ranking rushing defense. They are the most complete team on both sides of the ball, and po se s the kind of depth that's needed from a Super Bowl contender.The Chiefs have shown more inconsistencies through the first five weeks of the regular season than the Bills. They shot themselves in the foot until the appendage fell off against the , and then allowed the one-win Raiders to jump out to a 17-0 lead in Kansas City. As for the Bills, they did mismanage the clock and lose to the Dolphins while short-handed in Week 3, but they've also handed three teams blowout lo ses.Both teams can put up points, and I don't think anyone would be surprised if either side emerges victorious. I think Josh Allen is out for revenge after his defeat last year in the playoffs. I'm gonna ride with the Bills. The pick:Bills -2.5Projected score:Bills 37-30Monday, 8 Byron Buxton Jersey :15 p.m. ET (ESPN,)This pick is more about fading the Broncos than it is supporting the Chargers. I don't care that the Broncos had a long week to prepare for this matchup, because their 12-9 overtime lo s to the Colts was a blatant FCC violation that should lead to fines for both the NFL and Amazon. A Colts team without may be the worst team in the NFL, and the Broncos lost to them at home. has obviously struggled, and now he's dealing with a shoulder i sue. The president of Broncos countrywhere Joe Mauer Jersey he had an injection in his throwing shoulder. Apparently it was a platelet-rich plasma injection which aims to relieve discomfort in the area. Either way, Wilson ranks No. 14 in the NFL in pa sing yards (1,254), is tied for No. 23 in pa sing touchdowns (four) and ranks No. 28 in pa sing completion percentage (59.4%). His 14.1 off-target percentage this season is the eighth-highest in the NFL, and the Broncos are averaging just 15 points per game -- second-worst in the NFL behind the Colts, who they lost to.The Chargers defense is not consistent by any means and head coach Brandon Staley boggles my mind at times, but I still like L.A. and Co. are 4-1 ATS, while Denver is 1-4. The pick:Chargers -4.5Projected score:Chargers 27-20 (-1) 21-17 over 26-20 over (+8.5) 24-20 over Giants (+5.5)(+2.5) 24-23 over Browns (-1.5) 28-24 over (-5.5) 21-13 over Jaguars (+2) 17-14 over Colts(+2.5) 31-30 over Eagles (-6.5) 28-21 over Cowboys