Quote from lovelystyle100 on March 11, 2024, 9:30 AM

Shoutout to all of those who followed my picks, because we went 11-3 against the spread last week. Everything we touched turned to gold. I even took the to cover the spread before seeing that their whole secondary was out vs. the , but it didn't even matter. We ble sed them to victory.All kidding aside, it's nice to have an elite week like that because overall, the season hasn't been what I wanted it to be. Either way, there's still so much football left. All I ask is that you read my explanations and then make your own decisions.Let's take a look at what I'm thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.Top five picks ATS record: 13-17Overall ATS record: 47-46-1Straight up record: 55-38-1 Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS,)If you were unaware, everyone in the state Matt Carpenter Jersey of Tenne see is in the midst of a week-long bender. The other Tenne see football team in Knoxville defeated the Alabama Crimson Tide for the first time since 2006, and everyone stormed the field, uprooted the goal posts and threw them into the Tenne see river. That momentum appears to have somewhat carried over into other sports, as the NHL's Nashville Predators scored a goal earlier this week. Maybe we will hear some "Rocky Top" at Ni san Stadium on Sunday. It would be good luck.We've made the Titans a best bet in their last two games and it's worked out. Tenne see is 3-0 SU and ATS after beginning the season 0-2 SU and ATS. The Tommy Edman Jersey second of those three wins came against the Colts in Indy, as Tenne see's defense held to 2.1 yards per carry, while rushed for 114 yards and a touchdown.Since the spread is under three points, this best bet selection boils down to two things: The Titans are a better team than the Colts, and Mike Vrabel has never lost coming off of a bye week. The pick:Titans -2.5Projected score: Titans 27-23Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS,)I don't want to totally bypa s the fact that looked bad in Week 1 before he hurt his hand, but Sunday in Dallas feels like it may be a celebration. The Cowboys are 4-2, and did so without their starting quarterback. Now, he returns to an offense that is ready to shift to the next gear, and a defense that is one of the best in the NFL.The Lions had a couple good games to start the year but have now lost three straight -- including a 29-0 beatdown handed to them by a rookie quarterback who many didn't expect to even play this year. Not exactly the way you want to head into the bye week. The Lions are allowing 34 points per game and 428.6 total yards per game, which both rank dead last in the league. If they were to finish the season with those averages, it would mark the second-worst scoring and total defense in the Super Bowl era over a full season. Historically bad.The Lions are also winle s in their last 12 road games dating back to 2020, when was their leading rusher. Give me the Cowboys. The pick:Cowboys -7Projected score: Cowboys 35-23Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS,)I would venture to gue s that Ravens fans are mad. They have had a double-digit lead in all six of their games this season, yet are just 3-3. They are the 40th team in NFL history to lead by 10-plus points in each of their first six games of a season, and the only one that didn't have a winning record. If Ravens fans are mad, then you know the team is, too.The Browns have now lost three straight, including an embarra sing 38-15 lo s to and the at home last week. I wonder if this team is trending downwards. The defense isn't good and isn't exactly lighting it up. The Browns are allowing 27.2 points per game this season, which is tied for second-most in the NFL, while the Ravens are first in the NFL in yards per rush (5.95) and 10th in yards per pa s (6.8).I just believe this is a bounce-back spot for a team that is Roger Maris Jersey better than its record indicates. The Ravens have won 10 out of the past 13 meetings vs. the Browns and are 18-5 all-time at home vs. the Browns. While Baltimore doesn't have a great defense, it actually ranks No. 8 against the run. Cleveland has the No. 1 rushing offense in the league, so this matchup will come down to that. The pick:Ravens -6.5Projected score: Trevor Rosenthal Jersey Ravens 30-21 Pick Six Newsletter Crafted By The Best NFL Experts Get the day's big stories + fun stuff you love like mock drafts, picks and power rankings. I agree to receive the "Pick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. By pre sing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the and acknowledge Paramount's . Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. Thanks for signing up! Keep an eye on your inbox. Sorry! There was an error proce sing your subscription. Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox,)I don't have any advanced statistics for this, but why do I need them? The haters thought I was dumb for taking the +7.5 as a best bet last week, and ? gave a run in the playoffs two years ago, and I think he provides a spark against a struggling Packers team.The pick:Washington +4.5Projected score:Commanders 23-21Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox,)I correctly predicted the Chiefs would lose to the last week, and I planned on making Kansas City a best bet this week no matter who it was playing or where. The 49ers in Levi's Stadium isn't the most ideal situation, but I like this Chiefs team much more than the 49ers.I feel like the 49ers are held in maybe higher regard than they should. I think they are very live to beat any team on any given Sunday, but the franchise wanted to move on from for a reason, and I think last week gave us a good example of how to beat them. The quickly jumped out to a 14-0 lead and then held the 49ers to just 50 yards rushing. I think that's the game plan for any team playing the 49ers. Punch them in the mouth first and then make them pa s the ball to keep up. The Chiefs have been prone to slow starts this year, which does give me pause, but has lost back-to-back games only four times in his career. Kansas City has won 13 straight regular-season games vs. the NF and ranks in the top two in the league in points per game (29.8), third down percentage (50%) and red-zone touchdown percentage (76%). I think everybody would agree here -- the Chiefs are the better team. So if you're going to give me them for fewer than three points, I'm going to take it.The pick: Ozzie Smith Jersey Chiefs -2Projected score:Chiefs 24-17 (-2.5) 28-23 over Buccaneers 20-13 over (+13) 28-24 over Falcons (+6.5) (+3) 21-20 over (-7) 30-20 over Jets (-1) 20-14 over (+5) 28-26 over 23-20 over Steelers (+7)Patriots (-7.5) 27-17 over